Hockey's in the air today. But, here we're not talking about the FBI's investigation of
Predators investor Boots Del Biaggio. This note's on "hockey sticks," those often-suspect projections of startup revenue that depict poor-performance near-term, but incredible resurgence -- three or four quarters out. During a chat today with LBMC valuation expert Chris Lovin, I chuckled when he mentioned that, while valuation experts aren't typically expected to render opinions on a company's performance projections, if they see "the old hockey stick," it's often cause for pause. Also, until today, I hadn't realized that a company's "goodwill" might be split between the company, itself, and, say, an individual founder who's been deeply involved in customer sales and service. I don't think many who lead startup ventures give much thought to these things, particularly if they spend a long time in "friends-and-family" financing-mode, where napkin projections would seldom withstand dispassionate review.
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